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Is Gavin McKenna really a No. 1 pick? Frank Seravalli weighs in

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David St-Jean
May 11, 2026  (7:29 PM)
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Jan 31, 2026; State College, PA, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions forward Gavin McKenna (72) looks to shoot the puck during the first period against the Michigan State Spartans at Beaver Stadium.
Photo credit: Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images

Frank Seravalli just torched the assumption that Gavin McKenna is the lock at No. 1 in the 2026 NHL Draft. And he did it on camera Monday with Craig Button watching.

"There is no player in this Draft that is clear cut, No. 1," Seravalli said. "There just isn't, in my view. The margins are razor thin."

That's a problem for McKenna. Because every team holding a lottery ball was building a board around him.

The Vancouver Canucks finished dead last at 25-49-8 with a brutal minus-100 goal differential. They own the best odds at the top pick.

Adam Foote's group went 4-6-0 in their final 10 games. A roster that bottomed out was supposed to walk away with a generational forward.

Now there's doubt. Public doubt. From an insider who isn't known for soft takes.

Why Kyle Davidson and the Blackhawks just got more interesting

The Chicago Blackhawks are sitting on the second-worst record in the league at 29-39-14, riding a 2-7-1 stretch over their last 10 with a minus-62 differential.

Kyle Davidson has spent years collecting picks and prospects for this exact moment. If the gap between the top three names really is razor thin, Chicago's draft strategy changes overnight.

Jeff Blashill's first offseason behind the Blackhawks bench just got more complicated. A coach inherits the player the front office picks. And right now, no one knows who that player is.

Button is the other voice in that conversation. TSN's director of scouting doesn't make these appearances to nod along. When he engages with this kind of debate publicly, scouts around the league pay attention.

The McKenna camp won't love it either. A consensus No. 1 walks into his draft year unchallenged. A contested No. 1 spends six months answering questions about every shift.

Is the gap really that small at the top? Or is this the kind of insider chatter that fades the moment the combine starts and the interviews begin?

Seravalli framed it as a view, not a verdict. But the moment a respected name puts the words "razor thin" on the public record, the entire lottery night narrative shifts.

Vancouver still owns the best odds. Chicago still has the second-best. And every team chasing them just got handed something they didn't have last week, a real argument to move up.

The draft order gets set soon. The board behind closed doors just got rewritten.